At the Beginning of Credit Destruction Cycle – Ed Dowd
By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com
Former Wall Street money manager and financial analyst Ed Dowd of PhinanceTechnologies.com warned in September we were at the “Beginning of Panic Rate Cut Cycle.” Since that prediction, the Fed has cut interest rates three times. Looks like Dowd called it correctly. So, when does the panic kick in? Dowd says, “The panic kicks in when there is some sort of banking wobble or stock market wobble, which is in the process of setting up. Private credit is the first to show problems. We had Tricolor Holdings (subprime auto lending bankruptcy) go poof. We had First Brands (bankruptcy) go poof. This is all private credit. We have had other lenders like PrimaLend (bankruptcy) starting to go poof. Private credit is just like subprime. It not a very big part of the Jenga credit chain, but it’s enough to start a daisy chain of knock-on effects. So, this is where we are, at the beginning of the credit destruction cycle. We are seeing consumer credit card delinquencies nearing all-time highs, auto loan delinquencies and, next up, we will be seeing mortgage delinquencies. People stop paying their credit cards first, then their auto loans and stop paying on their homes last. As the layoffs accelerate, and we are already seeing more high-profile layoffs at Amazon, UPS and you name it, once those begin, we will be seeing higher delinquency rates.”
Dowd sees much lower prices for homes. Dowd says, “There is a distinct problem between homes for sale and homes sold, meaning there are a lot of people wanting to sell their homes and not a lot of people buying them. The inventory continues to grow. . .. The only way this clears is through price. The price of homes is going lower. We had an overbuild in multi-family housing because of the illegal immigrants. Those deals are going sour and rolling over. Rents are coming down. . .. It’s all slowly going the wrong way, and it will become a mainstream topic in 2026.”
In past interviews, Dowd points out there was massive fraud in the Biden Administration, especially in unemployment figures. That, too, will all be revealed. This is why Dowd pointed out last year that President Trump “Inherited a Turd of an Economy.”
What is working are precious metals, especially gold. Dowd does not see gold losing its shine anytime soon. Dowd says, “If we get any kind of credit crisis, gold may get sold temporarily where people sell what they can, but not what they want. Long term, gold looks like it’s going to $10,000 an ounce on the charts by 2030. Everything is conspiring fundamentally and technically to lead us that way. They made gold a Tier 1 asset. That makes gold money again in the banking system. . .. I would not get scared out of my physical gold position anytime soon.”
Dowd has new cutting-edge analysis on China for institutional investors. China is a lot weaker than anyone can imagine. Dowd says, “Not only does China have long-term structural problems, our report identifies a very acute part of their real estate crisis, which is beginning now and accelerating into 2026. . .. China is struggling mightily. We have more bargaining chips than a lot of us think. When I hear things like ‘China holds all the cards and Trump is screwed,’ I laugh.”
There is much more in the 45-minute interview.
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Join Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog as he goes One-on-One with money manager and investment expert Ed Dowd, author of the updated book called “Cause Unknown: The Epidemic of Sudden Deaths in 2021, 2022 and 2023” for 12.13.25. Dowd contends the “sudden deaths and disabilities” are still happening at epidemic levels. Now, there are 6 million Americans permanently disabled from the CV19 injections, and they still will not take them off the market!!
After the Interview:
There is lots of free information on Dowd’s website called PhinanceTechnologies.com.
Ed Dowd has a new website for you to book him for consulting and speaking engagements. It’s called EdDowd.com.
Dowd’s new 120-page report on China is now out, and it has shocking new and never before released details about how much trouble China is really in. Dowd says, “If you are doing business in China, you really need to read this report.” Click here to order the new China report and other recent reports here and here.
You can order Dowd’s updated book called “Cause Unknown” by clicking here.
This is a fantastic book that everyone should have.







Thanks Greg & Ed,,,Just curious on China,,,I see they have a trade SURPLUS of $1.08 Trillion by the end of November even with exports to 🇺🇸 down 28.6% in November ?? ,,,,,not sure,,but that should help their economy having a ttade surplus,,??? Trump would be wise to back off of Venezuela,,,,I don’t think the American people can stomach much more 24/7 war,,,,and the $2000 check,,,big deal,,,look how much everyone in Uncle Scam is raking in especially con gress people with insider trading,(millions),,,,,Prices for the average American house hold increased around $1700 in 2025 for paying higher prices (taxes/inflated prices ) from tariffs (google it!),,,and some figures go as high as $3800 per house hold,,I know groceries keep going up and tire prices have gone through the roof from tariffs,,,,most tires are made in China or Mexico now,,,I bought a set of Cooper Rugged Trek for my truck and they were a lot cheaper being made in America and what a nice tire!! 2x more tread depth than new Goodyears!!! They are performing way better than BF Goodrich and Goodyears I have bought in the past,,,will stick with Cooper from here on out and I like that they are made in 🇺🇸,, ,,,,,(Good move Mr Trump letting Don Jr work on peace ) (better than the neocons),,,!!! Kristi Noem I think is doing a good job also !!!
Again thanks Greg and Ed,,,excellent interview!!
I am not doubting ed dowd very smart guy but Kyle bass has been saying China is faltering for about 10 years.China is backed by the luciferian money changers that rule the world and they are going to make China the next superpower totalitarian satanic system.China will not fall apart they are a pawn in the gameTrump the chump is bringing in the beast system, why would he have Albert Satan Bourdain and Bill Satan gates at the white house.If I was the president I would invite Bill gates,bourla,and all the other Satanist to the white house and they would never be seen again
I think President Trump’s dropping approval ratings are more than just the economy. Whoever is whispering in President Trump’s ear needs to be fired because his messaging is way off track. Calling the Epstein files a hoax was a stupid idea. Bondi’s rollout of those files was incompetent. Many people do not believe the official FED story of the murder of Charlie Kirk. Huckabee not being fired over secretly meeting with that traitor, Jonathan Pollard, looks bad. President Trump viciously attacking MTG over the release of the Epstein files looks like he betrays his allies. She was a huge supporter of Trump and voted for his policies 98% of the time. Now we see Trump golfing with that neocon Lindsey Graham, who turned his back on Trump before. We aren’t seeing massive amounts of illegals deported. We aren’t seeing Bondi going after criminals. RFK, Jr, seems to be held back from doing his job completely. We aren’t seeing peace. We see a President who wants the Nobel Peace Prize so badly he will allow others to dangle that carrot and get him totally distracted from solving America’s problems. President Trump needs to rebrand and develop better communication with the American people. Many of us feel like we are not a priority. Good grief, President Trump wants to allow 300,000 Chinese into our colleges. What about our children? We didn’t vote for President Trump to make Gaza Great again, nor make the Kennedy Center great, or even to make Republicans great. We voted for President Trump to make America and its people great. Upward mobility for our kids and grandkids is almost gone. No wonder his approval among the younger generations is tanking. We voted for President Trump three times but are disappointed with him and his cabinet. I hope he cleans house after midterms. We keep waiting and hoping, but we are done with that now.
Kay,
Are you sure your name is not Karen?
Greg
Only 100% Deportation can save America.
To deport some and not others constitutes Discrimination.
Deportation reunites families and saves American lives while reducing crime.
Study these Victims of so-called “Migration.”
Sarah Beckstrom
Rachel Morin
Ashli Babbit
Megan Bos
Laken Riley
Iryna Zarutska
Why do the Communist Democrats and RINOS use Women for Bait?
So going into countries and removing their gold – their citizens gold is okay?
Guess the banksters, some corps and what are called zionists think it’s ok…….
Seer,
Dowd was not advocating this but telling you what has happened.
Greg
Thanks Greg. Ed is a world class guest, on par with some of the others. He didn’t say it specifically, but gold looks like it just broke out of its bull flag/ pennant. With “not QE” and a new FED chairman coming, we should see some interesting moves. Unless we have a market wide sell off, gold looks to me to be an excellent place to play over the next month or three- for those with play money. For timing, it would be good to remember- “Buy the rumor, sell the news” – i think the new chairman comes in May. I like the silver story, but as the charts evolve we have to be nimble. Sorry Stan, you’re going to need a therapist. None of this is investment advice.
As per China exporting cheap crap- there’s an auction place near us (WA state) with something every couple months and they always have a bunch of Chinese made mini excavators. They usually sell around $5000 to 6000- new.