Sovereign Debt Crisis May Start in Middle East – Martin Armstrong

By Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com (Saturday Night Post)

Legendary financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong warned in May “Iran Bombs UAE to Trigger Financial Meltdown.”  Then, about two weeks ago, there was a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between the US and Iran, and everyone thought the war and the crisis was on its way to being over.  Oil fell below $70 a barrel, and it looked like everything was going to be worked out with a 60-day ceasefire.  Now, it looks like everything could fall apart with attacks from Iran, counter-attacks from the US and the back and forth continues.  Can the MOU that has dropped the price of oil survive this?  Martin Armstrong says, “Iran is not stupid.  What is happening is when we had Covid, oil went down to $6.50 (per barrel).  It was below production costs.  The governments borrowed extensively to stay alive.  All that debt is still there.  So, the sovereign debt crisis may start in the Middle East.  People are completely blindsided because they think that in the Middle East, they are just flush with money–Not True.  Now, they are like everybody else with debt up to their chin.  Iran is intelligent.  They are not Venezuela.  They are attacking the Gulf State refineries and the whole Strait of Hormuz.  They know that’s not impacting the United States.  The US is basically self-sufficient.  It impacts Asia, and it impacts Europe, but what else does it do?  It prevents the Gulf States from selling oil.  If they cannot sell oil, they default on their loans.  If they default on their loans, you get a banking crisis, which goes straight to London.  This is much more complicated than people think.  Trump understands this is much bigger than just Hormuz and the price of oil.”

Armstrong goes on to say, “There is going to be no peace deal in Iran. . .. We have a conflict of interests.  Trump is trying to get out because he has the midterms, but Netanyahu is going to run again, and he needs a victory–which to me is impossible.  His opposition in Israel is pounding him saying we got nothing out of this. . .. If Netanyahu agrees to peace, he basically loses the election.  The polls are saying he has 61% of Israelis against him.”  So, don’t look for peace with Iran for the rest of this year going into 2027, according to Armstrong.

So, what’s going to happen with gold and oil, which have had big corrections?  Armstrong predicts, “The Middle East is a mess, and oil is going to take off again after a July low.  Gold may be bottoming this week. . .. Then, it will be heading up through August.”

Armstrong still sees the Democrat Party breaking up just as he predicted in December of 2024.  For proof this is happening now, look no further than Dem loyalist James Carville’s recent comments.  Armstrong is still predicting Europe goes to war with Russia and loses.  Why go to war?  Because of huge economic problems.  Armstrong says, “They want war. . .. look for things to heat up between Ukraine and Russia because Zelensky has been given the green light to escalate it.”

There is much more in the 48-minute interview.

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Join Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog as he goes One-on-One with Martin Armstrong to talk about the Iran peace deal, Ukraine, gold, oil and the Democrat Party 6.27.26.

After the Interview:

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To get Armstrong’s “Sovereign Debt Crisis and the Middle East,” click here.

And don’t forget about his upcoming event on Saturday, July 25^th, from 2:00 – 6:00 pm at the Tampa Marriott Water Street, 505 Water St, Tampa, FL 33602.