Renowned geopolitical and financial cycle expert Charles Nenner says if there was ever a global canary in the coal mine warning for the financial system, it is Germany’s Deutsche Bank (DB). Late last year, Nenner predicted if DB stock went below $8 a share, “You should be worried.” Recently, DB stock hit all-time lows and now sits around the $7.50 per share level.
Nenner warns, “I see it can hold up to late July, and then it can go to $6.50 (per share). If it breaks below $6.40, it can go out of business. So, it’s a very serious situation. . . . I think all the markets can have a bounce in a couple of days to the end of July. That’s why DB might hold up, but if it gets below $6.40, the world is in trouble.”
This is not a hyped prediction considering the IMF called DB the “most systemically dangerous bank” in the world in 2016. If DB does break $6.40, do we get a daisy chain of default around the world? Nenner says, “It is a very dangerous situation. I don’t think DB is the only one. They just got caught. I think if you look at the balance sheets very closely of other banks, especially Europe and Italian banks, you will see a lot of troubling signs also. I don’t think it’s only Deutsche Bank. It’s much more. . . . If it breaks $6.40, the downside price target is zero. If everybody watches my analysis and it does go below $6.40, everybody is going to run for the exits.”
If DB goes under with its massive book of derivatives, other banks would be in the same trouble as DB. Nenner says, “Yes, if they have to close their derivatives, who knows which bank is going to lose how much? It’s going to be a big problem.”
On interest rates, Nenner says, “At the end of the summer, or let’s say at the end of July, we are going to have a long term rise in interest rates for a couple of years.”
On gold, Nenner says, “A lot of people don’t know that a lot of bull markets in gold are in a deflationary period. We are looking for a long term bull market for a couple of years to come, maybe until 2024. We are fine tuning it, but we are going to go short in the middle of the summer the bonds and go long the gold. I don’t think the weakness in stocks is going to go to the usual September, October and November time period. I think, after July, it will start to be difficult.”
Nenner thinks the stock market will bottom out in the year 2022, and the path from here is mostly down according to his cycles.
In closing, Nenner says, “Gold prices and silver prices will go up. It’s early, and it’s better to get in early instead of when it’s exploding, and everybody knows you have to now be in gold. It’s always the clever money that is basing their money into gold stocks. The price is going much higher. Remember, my upside price target is $2,500. Right now, it is $1,270, and $2,500 is a substantial move in gold.”
Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with financial and geopolitical cycle expert Charles Nenner.
Greg is the producer and creator of USAWatchdog.com. The site’s slogan is “analyzing the news to give you a clear picture of what’s really going on.” The site will keep an eye on the government, your financial interests and cut through the media spin. USAWatchdog.com is neither Democrat nor Republican, Liberal or Conservative. Before creating and producing the site, Greg spent nearly 9 years as a network and investigative correspondent. He worked for ABC News and Good Morning America for nearly 6 years. Most recently, Greg worked for CNN for shows such as Paula Zahn Now, American Morning and various CNN business shows.